by Anura Guruge
1/ Cardinal Angelo Scola’s ‘Promotion’ To Milan Bolsters His Papabile Standing — June 28, 2011 post.
2/ Papabile Cardinal Angelo Scola And His New, ‘Out-of-Cycle’ Pallium — Sep. 24, 2011 post.
3/ Upside Down Scola Pallium — A Sign Of Things To Come? — Sep. 26, 2011 post.
As soon as it became known in June that the pope, Benedict XVI (#266), was transferring is long-time collaborator, Cardinal Scola, from Venice to Milan, Europe’s (let alone Italy’s) largest diocese (and Italy’s most senior bar Rome), there was even more speculation than before that Scola was the pope’s anointed to be his successor (though we know that pope’s are not supposed to in any way designate their successor).
Then, when on September 21, the pope deviated from ‘the norm’ to confer the Milan pallium on Scola (albeit embarrassingly upside down), the ‘chatter’ as Scola as the next pope became feverish.
Cardinal Scola is my current #4 papabile for the next 18 to 24 months. He is up one from my 2009 rankings as they appeared in the 2010 ‘The Next Pope.’
So, lets face it. I am partial, to a point, with Scola being the next pope. But, from my perspective the Milan transfer wasn’t really that significant. I can even argue that from a papabile standpoint, it was a detriment! Why? Because thanks to Pius X (#258), John XXIII (#262) and John Paul I (#264), three much liked popes, all of whom where Patriarchs of Venice when elected, Venice now has a cachet when it comes to popes. Yes, Milan has given us two popes: Pius XI (#260) and Paul VI (#263). Enough said. So, I do not put that much emphasis on the transfer — though there is no doubt that getting Milan is definitely an honor.
Both Ouellet and Scola have a very long history with the current pope. But, remember the current pope isn’t Italian either. So there is no Ratzinger-Scola axis that is that different to that of the Ratzinger-Ouellet axis. The pope likes them both. Of that there is no doubt or debate. But, Ouellet, when appointed to head up both Congregation for Bishops and the Pontifical Commission for Latin America, got the better deal — whichever way you look at it. Ouellet, on a daily basis, heading up ‘Bishops’ gets daily visibility among the electors — and the plumb ‘Latin American’ assignment boosts his already strong credentials as a pan-American candidate. He also gets ‘thank yous’ and ‘IOUs’ from countries, and their cardinals, if he gives them the bishops they want. In contrast, Scola is now heading up a diocese with declining membership and no doubt dissent within the ranks.
When watching the pallium ceremony, I was struck by how much Scola appears to have aged in the last couple of years. Then I saw this picture, in the Milan Diocese, Angelo Scola page. Wow, he sure has aged and his jowls have grown.

Angelo Scola, On Sep. 27, 2011 from his own page at the Milan Dioce
He is but 69. He was once handsome and debonair. He is not aging well. Yes, it is probably the good life as a Italian prince.
So this is how I see it stacking up, with the possibility that either prior to or at the conclave electing to be the ‘pope maker‘ for the other.


















