Papabili 2011 (The Next Pope) Snap Shot [with many germane links]. March 3, 2011 post.
by Darien N Clark
Past Grand Knight, Knights of Columbus, Mother Marianne Cope Council 14260 at Syracuse University
Darien, a long-time collaborator of this blog, submitted a papabili list in October 2010 once the names of those that were going to be created at the November 20, 2010 consistory had been announced.
This is the updated papabili list for 2011. I’ll do my best to respond to questions/comments and should be able to do so for this list as compared to my previous one given that I have finished my degree and no longer have coursework.
1. Marc Ouellet [Oct 2010 ranking #1, also in Anura Guruge's top 3]
2. Tarscio Bertone [Oct 2010 ranking #3, also in Anura Guruge's top 3]
3. Ennio Antonelli [Oct 2010 ranking #6]
4. Leonardo Sandri [Oct 2010 ranking #2]
5. Angelo Scola [Oct 2010 ranking #10]
6. Claudio Hummes
7. Antonio Cañizares Llovera [in Anura Guruge's top 3]
8. Odilo Pedro Scherer [Oct 2010 ranking #4]
9. Andre Armand Vignt-Trois [Oct 2010 ranking #7]
10. Jose da Cruz Policarpo
[In Oct. 2010 list, but not on this one: William Levada (#5), Francis Arinze (#8) & Peter Turkson (#9).]
A few explanations as to who is where and why:
• Ouellet: You aren’t made Prefect for the Congregation of Bishops without having the full confidence of the current Pope. Plus his hands are clean in terms of the sex-abuse crisis.
• Bertone: Not so much 2 as 1A. It depends on the mood of the Cardinals at the time of Conclave. If they’re looking for another shorter length Papacy then Bertone gets the nod. If they’re comfortable with a long Papacy (20 years perhaps) Ouellet gets the nod.
• Llovera and Hummes: Join the list from my previous version. Their names have been appearing more often as of late. Plus Hummes is from a religious order which could work in his favor.
• Vignt-Trois: Moved down a few spots from my previous listing but still on. There has been something of a trend with Popes from nations who have gone a long time without a Pope (or never before). His hands are clean and has shown to be an able Archbishop in a secularized state.
Missed the cut:
• Schonborn: The issues I highlighted in my first list still exist here. An unfortunate incident with the youth Mass with liturgical abuses rampant can hurt him. Additionally Austria is awfully close to Germany which might give the Cardinals pause.
• Bergoglio: There will not be a Jesuit Pope. I’d put every last cent in my bank account down on a bet against a Jesuit Pope at the next Conclave.
• Burke: American. If only he weren’t from the US he would be an interesting candidate. His youth and proclivity for speaking too much in front of microphones would also hurt him if he were from some other country.