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Darien’s last post — The Timing Of The Investigation Of The U.S. Nuns
- April 21, 2012.
Darien compiled cardinalabili lists for the last two cardinal creating consistories and was remarkably successful. So, I consider Darien a proven expert in this field. Hence I am delighted that we already have a list from him — since this will definitely provided us with a great baseline for evaluating all future lists. Thanks Darien — Anura
by Darien N Clark
Past Grand Knight, Knights of Columbus, Mother Marianne Cope Council 14260 at Syracuse University
And so the buzz for the next consistory begins; or at least it does here. Although I do recall Anura posting a link to an Italian source who started talking about the next consistory shortly after the one in February.
Overview: My list is based off the the anticipated aging out in one years time. There are 14 men who will turn 80 by the end of March 2013. So I am looking at a consistory between March-May 2013. (After March the next age-out occurs in June, then not again until September. It’s plausible that a May consistory would take into account the June age-out; bringing us to 15 openings). Obviously I cannot take into account any under 80′s who may die in the coming year. For now, all I am working with are anticipated vacancies due to age
Francesco Moraglia
Color Key: lock, predecessor aged out, will age out by May 2013 or deceased, predecessor in Curia, predecessor not a Cardinal, predecessor not aged out.
Residential A (Most Likely):
Francesco Moraglia; Patriarch of Venice
Cesare Nosiglia; Archbishop of Turin
Georges Paul Pontier; Archbishop of Marseilles, France
Jose Serofia Palma; Archbishop of Cebu, Philippines
Braulio Rodriguez Plaza; Archbishop of Toledo, Spain
Vincent Gerard Nichols; Archbishop of Westminster (London), England
Orani Joao Tempesta, O. Cist.; Archbishop of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Sergio da Rocha; Archbishop of Brasilia, Brazil
Sviatoslav Shevchuk; Major Archbishop of Kiev (Ukrainian Greek Catholics)
Francisco Chimoio, O.F.M. Cap.; Archbishop of Maputo, Mozambique
Damiao Antonio Franklin; Archbishop of Luanda, Angola
Luis Antonio Gokim Tagle; Archbishop of Manilla, Philippines
Ricardo Andrello; Archbishop of Santiago de Chile
Jesus Rubén Salazar Gomez; Archbishop of Bogota, Colombia
Nikola Eterovic
Curial A (Most Likely):
Nikola Eterovic; Secretary General of the Synod of Bishops
Claudio Celli; President of the Pontifical Council for Social Communication
Ignacio Carrasco de Paula; President of the Academy for Life
Prefect of the CFD (if appointed before Consistory AND not already a Cardinal)
Secretary of the Secretariat of State (if appointed before Consistory AND not already a Cardinal)
Lorenzo Baldisseri; Secretary of the College of Cardinals
Residential B: (Less Likely)
Ghaleb Moussa Abdalla Bader; Archbishop of Alger, Algeria
Samuel Kleda; Archbishop of Douala, Cameroon
Jean-Pierre Kutwa; Archbishop of Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire
Berhaneyesus Demerew Souraphiel, C.M.; Archbishop of Addis Abeba, Ethiopia (Archeparchy)
Matthias Kobena Nketsiah; Archbishop of Cape Coast, Ghana
Odon Razanakolona; Archbishop of Antananarivo, Madagascar
John Olorunfemi Onaiyekan; Archbishop of Abuja, Nigeria
William Slattery, O.F.M.; Archbishop of Pretoria, South Africa
Carlos José Nanez; Archbishop of Cordoba, Argentina
Fausto Gabriel Travez Travez; Archbishop of Quito, Ecuador
Oscar Julio Vian Morales, S.D.B.; Archbishop of Guatemala
Leopoldo José Brenes Solòrzano; Archbishop of Managua, Nicaragua
Diarmud Martin; Archbishop of Dublin
Jozef Kowalczyk; Archbishop of Gniezno, Poland
Marian Golebiewski; Archbishop of Wroclaw (Breslavia), Poland
Juan José Asenjo Pelegrina; Archbishop of Seville, Spain
Carlos Osoro Sierra; Archbishop of Valencia, Spain
Thomas D’Souza; Archbishop of Calcutta, India
Peter Okada; Archbishop of Tokyo
John Atcherly Dew; Archbishop of Wellington, New Zealand
Gérald Cyprien Lacroix, I.S.P.X.; Archbishop of Quebec
José Horacio Gomez; Archbishop of Los Angeles
Charles Joseph Chaput, O.F.M. Cap.; Archbishop of Philadelphia
Wilton Daniel Gregory; Archbishop of Atlanta
Andrew Yeom Soo-Jung, Archbishop of Seoul, South Korea
Residential C (Unlikely, but not impossible):
Allen Henry Vigneron; Archbishop of Detroit
William Edward Lori; Archbishop of Baltimore
Roberto Octavio Gonzalez Nieves, O.F.M.; Archbishop of San Juan de Puerto Rico
Christian Lépine; Archbishop of Montréal
Terance Thomas Prendergast, S.J.; Archbishop of Ottawa
Sergio Alfredo Calandrina; Coadjutor Archbishop of Santa Cruz de la Sierra, Bolivia
Walmor Oliveira de Azevedo; Archbishop of Belo Horizonte, Brazil
Murilo Sebastiao Ramos Krieger, S.C.I.; Archbishop of Sao Salvador da Bahia, Brazil
Eustaquio Pastor Cuquejo Verga, C.SS.R.; Archbishop of Asuncion, Paraguay
Edmundo Ponziano Valenzuela Mellid, S.D.B.; Coadjutor Archbishop of Asuncion, Paraguay
Guire Poulard; Archbishop of Port-au-Prince, Haiti
Tadeuz Kondrusiewicz; Archbishop of Minsk, Belarus
André-Joseph Léonard; Archbishop of Malines-Brussels, Belgium
Laurent Marie Ulrich; Archbishop of Lille, France
Pascal Jean Marcel Wintzer; Archbishop of Poitiers, France
Bernard-Nicholas Jean-Marie Aubertin, O. Cist.; Archbishop of Tours, France
Giuseppe Verucchi; Archbishop of Ravenna-Cervia, Italy
Waclaw Tomaz Depo; Archbishop of Czestochowa, Poland
Slawoj Leszek Glodz; Archbishop of Gdansk, Poland
Mark Benedict Coleridge; Archbishop of Brisbane, Australia
Cyprian Kizito Lwanga; Archbishop of Kampala, Uganda
Telesphore George Mpundu; Archbishop of Lusaka, Zambia
Stephen Brislin; Archbishop of Cape Town, South Africa
Buti Joseph Tlhagale, O.M.I.; Archbishop of Johannesburg, South Africa
Curial B (Less Likely)
Zygmunt Zimowski; President of the Pontifical Council for Pastoral Care of Health Care Workers
James Michael Harvey; Prefect of the Papal Household
Giorgio Corbellini; President of the Office of Labor of the Apostolic See
Piero Marini; Pontifical Committee for International Eucharistic Congress
Salvatore Fischella; President of the Pontifical Council for Promoting the New Evangelization
Giorgio Corbellini; President of the Labor Office of the Apostolic See
Notes: Given how Curial heavy the last consistory was I believe the next consistory will clear out the backlog of residential prelates awaiting the red-hat. Also there is a major backlog among residential prelates from the non-western world. So this list is heavy in non-western residential prelates. Not as heavy at the top with the locks, I only have 5 each for the western and non-western world. But in the lower ranks, there are a great number of non-western prelates who may have a look at the next Consistory. There chances will improve so long as:
No major sitting Curialists, other than Bertone and Levada whose departures I have factored in already, retire or die between now and the next consistory.
Predecessors of Cardinalite Sees who are retired but not aged out don’t die. I.E. If Cardinal Mahony dies, Archbishop Gomez of LA would have much improved chances of becoming a Cardinal at the next Consistory.
Hitherto non-Cardinalite Sees do not gain a red-hat. I have a feeling one such See that might get a Cardinal in the not too distant future is Atlanta, GA and their Archbishop Wilton Gregory.
Only the Residential A and Curial A lists are in order of precedence; by that I mean the order in which I feel the most certain to least certain that prelate will be made a Cardinal. The other residential sections are grouped by continent but not in any order of precedence. Likewise the Curial B list is in no particular order.
One Response to “Darien N. Clark — Cardinalabili ’2013′, The First Cut, The First List”
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The next several consistories will show whether Detroit and Baltimore will go by the way of St. Louis. The last several abps. of St. Louis have been bypassed. Those that became cardinals had to move to Philadelphia and Rome. The last one from Baltimore had to move to Rome to be a cardinal.