by Anura Guruge
Statistical analysis of the 24 cardinal designates named on October 20 for the November 20, 2010 consistory.
That the Sri Lankan, Albert Malcolm Ranjit Patabendige Don, independent of my personal geographic bias, has to be considered given his standing as the ‘Very Tanned Ratzinger’ is now already a done deal — thanks, albeit partly, to this post. Since I let this genie out of the bottle, I guess I will have to include him in my final list, even if it is at #10. Lot to cogitate here and I know I will get plenty of input on this one. He would, indubitably, be #3 in what has now being a very long chain, in terms of years — and that might be too much for many. But, the flip side. That would appeal to quite a few in what is an increasingly conservative and aging College. [It is the US tea party movement all over again, though he need to come up with a more apt name, the ‘Gdansk Groupies‘?]
I still will not budge from my thesis that the next pope will not be from the US, Germany, Poland or an African country. Also I am reluctant, at least right now, to consider anybody close to or above 75. So that rules out many.
Damasceno Assis, the only Latin American contender (who meets my criteria), seems insipid. I could be wrong. But, we have better contenders from Latin America already.
I agree with most. This was not exactly a very inspiring group to begin with.
There are only two names I am left with to kick around. I know lots of you will disagree. But, I need to look and the pros and cons. I could, as ever, be wrong, but I get a feeling that ‘compromise’ might be the watchword at the next conclave. Hence, even Patabendige Don. If you have a Swiss on deck, it is crazy not to consider him, if you are looking for European compromises. Hence, Kurt Koch.
Angelo Amato, by all accounts, is popular. Benedict XVI (#266), by naming him first, has given him a BIG NOD. He has a high profile curial post. He can grant ‘favors’ to countries and thus other cardinals. [Read between the lines. Causes of the Saints.] He is the only ‘young’ Italian in this crop that elicits a second look.
[[Following a comment from ‘Peter’ I am also adding Gianfranco Ravisi to my list to kick around. Thank YOU, Peter.]]
Not saying that these two will make my 2011 cut. But, they will be considered. All input greatly appreciated. Thank you.