Apr 072012

Benedict XV whose length of reign will soon be eclipsed by Benedict XVI

Anura Guruge, laughing, picture November 16, 2011.

by Anura Guruge

Related posts:
1/ Benedict XVI’s Rapid Rise Through The Longevity Ranks
December 15, 2011.

2/ Benedict XVI on March 1, 2012, 6th Oldest as of 1400, by the Numbers
February 29, 2012.

3/ Benedict XVI is also the 6th oldest, as of 1400, to create cardinals
March 4, 2012.

4/ Benedict XVI the oldest pope to travel abroad, since 1400
March 26, 2012.

On Monday, April 16, 2012 the pope turns 85. This does not change any of his longevity records. He became the 6th oldest, as of 1400, on March 1, 2012.

The next meaningful landmark will be on September 8, 2012 when he draws ahead of the 7 year 4 month 2 weeks and 5 day pontificate of Benedict XV (#259). There is symbolism in this.

This pope, upon being elected, explained to his electors why he chose to be a ‘Benedict’. He is then said to have quipped, emulating a similar sentiment declared by John XXIII (#262), in 1958, when he was justifying his chosen name, that Benedict XV had only served briefly. The implication, as had been the case when John said that ‘most of pope Johns had had short pontificates’, was that the pope did not foresee a lengthy reign; John, alas, having been right.

Benedict XV had reigned for 7.3 years, a tad above the 7.2 (or 7.19 to be precise) average for all pontificates.

From page 81 of 'Popes and the Tale of their Names' by Anura Guruge

From page 81 of 'Popes and the Tale of their Names' by Anura Guruge

John XXIII, though he got the number of legitimate ‘Johns’ prior to him wrong, was, however, right that popes named ‘Johns’ tended to have short pontificates.

The twenty (as opposed to the incorrectly stated twenty-two) popes named ‘John’ that preceded 1958’s ‘Good Pope John’ had an average length of reign of 5.87 years. John XXIII, with his short but dramatic pontificate that lasted only 4.58 years, reduced this average further to 5.81 years.

The sixteen ‘Benedicts’ [counting the three separate terms of Benedict IX (#146, #148, #151) individually], have an average length of reign that is even shorter; i.e., 5.27 years.

So, Benedict XVI has already surpassed the average for ‘Benedicts’.

On September 8, 2012, 145-days after his 85thbirthday, the length of this pope’s reign will exceed that of Benedict XV.

[Coincidently, Benedict XII (#198), in the 14th century, had a reign that was just fifteen days shorter than that of Benedict XV’s.]

The current pope has already exceeded the reigns of ten of his namesakes (albeit, two of these being Benedict IX’s short, second and third terms).

Yet, there is Benedict VII (#136) who reigned for 8.75 years, while Benedict IX in his first term and Benedict VIII (#144) reigned for just under twelve years. There is a good chance that this pope might get close matching the tenure of ‘VII’, and possibly an outside chance that he might even get close to the twelve year mark – which he would reach in 2017!

The lengths of the reigns of 'Benedicts' from an old Anura Guruge spreadsheet.

The lengths of the reigns of 'Benedicts' from an old Anura Guruge spreadsheet.

P.S., If they are already talking about a February 2013 Benedict XVI consistory — this pope will sail past September and October with ease.

  2 Responses to “Pope Benedict XVI (#266) On September 8, 2012 Will Surpass Lenghth Of Benedict XV’s (#259) Pontificate”

  1. The longest officiating of all the Benedicts is of course the fourteenth who seems to be a wrongly forgotten pope reminding in many respects of John XXIII. It really would be good for Ratzinger to learn a lesson from his 18th century namesake who combined doctrinal steadiness with an open minded attitude towards the world he was living in. He even got to be admired by Voltaire who dedicated to him his “Mahomet”, responding to this Benedict XIV sent him a letter of thanks accompanied by two personally dedicated medals . It seems quite impossible to me that under the actual pope a harsh critic of Roman Catholicism would be honored in such a way. It may even be said that the two popes are similar in a certain sense because both of them earned merits as scholars but then it has also to be supposed that there is a really fundamental discrepancy between them not only due to historical conditions but also because of an essential difference in temper.

  2. Well said. Hear, Hear. Thanks. Made my day. Yes, a lot that this pope can learn from some of his illustrious predecessors. Right now his legacy does not look too bright. All the best. Cheers, Anura

 Leave a Reply

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong>

Rss Feed Tweeter button Facebook button Technorati button Reddit button Myspace button Linkedin button Webonews button Delicious button Digg button Stumbleupon button Newsvine button